Archived · Tropics · Wed, Oct 7, 2026, 5 AM EDT

Tropical Storm Isaias: what it could mean for New Jersey (Advisory 3)

Archived post. This was posted Wed, Oct 7, 2026, 5 AM EDT and has been replaced by newer information. It's kept for reference, not current conditions. For the latest, see the homepage.

Forecast cone map for Tropical Storm Isaias from the National Hurricane Center, Advisory 3, 5 AM EDT Wednesday, October 7, 2026. The storm is in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, forecast to become a hurricane by early Thursday, peak near 110 mph early Friday, and reach the coast near Mobile and Pensacola around 2 AM Saturday. New Jersey is marked in gold, well outside the cone.

Tropical Depression Nine is now Tropical Storm Isaias. As of 5 AM Wednesday it had 40 mph winds in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center expects quick strengthening: a hurricane by early Thursday and a peak near 110 mph early Friday.

The forecast track curves north toward the Gulf Coast, reaching land near Mobile and Pensacola around 2 AM Saturday. From there it weakens as it moves inland toward Tennessee and the Ohio Valley. The cone, which shows where the center could go, stays well west of us.

For us: no direct hit from Isaias. The rest of the week stays quiet and dry. What's left of the storm is expected to bring rain as early as Sunday. The National Weather Service in Mount Holly says it could carry a lot of tropical moisture, so rain may be heavy at times, with some spots picking up 1 to 2 inches. The exact timing is still uncertain because the computer models disagree on how fast it gets here. We'll narrow down timing and totals over the next few days.

No watches or warnings are in effect yet. Hurricane watches are likely for part of the northern Gulf Coast later today. We update this map with every new advisory.

Sources: National Hurricane Center (NOAA), Advisory 3, 5 AM EDT Wed, Oct 7 · NWS Mount Holly forecast discussion, 8:40 AM EDT Wed, Oct 7.